Game History
| Week |
Date |
Result |
Opponent |
Score |
ELO Before |
ELO Change |
ELO After |
Win Prob |
| 2 |
Aug 28 2025 |
W |
Boise State
|
34-7 |
1401.9 |
+70.5
|
1472.4 |
13.1% |
| 3 |
Sep 6 2025 |
W |
Florida
|
18-16 |
1472.4 |
+72.7
|
1545.1 |
18.9% |
| 4 |
Sep 13 2025 |
L |
Miami
|
12-49 |
1545.1 |
-21.3
|
1523.8 |
31.4% |
| 5 |
Sep 20 2025 |
W |
South Carolina State
|
63-14 |
1523.8 |
+0.0
|
1523.8 |
53.4% |
| 7 |
Oct 3 2025 |
W |
Charlotte
|
54-26 |
1523.8 |
+8.1
|
1531.9 |
87.3% |
| 8 |
Oct 10 2025 |
W |
North Texas
|
63-36 |
1531.9 |
+46.6
|
1578.5 |
53.2% |
| 9 |
Oct 18 2025 |
W |
Florida Atlantic
|
48-13 |
1578.5 |
+6.7
|
1585.2 |
89.4% |
| 10 |
Oct 25 2025 |
L |
Memphis
|
31-34 |
1585.2 |
-26.1
|
1559.1 |
37.8% |
| 12 |
Nov 6 2025 |
W |
UTSA
|
55-23 |
1559.1 |
+26.0
|
1585.1 |
62.3% |
| 13 |
Nov 15 2025 |
L |
Navy
|
38-41 |
1585.1 |
-34.4
|
1550.7 |
48.3% |
| 14 |
Nov 22 2025 |
W |
UAB
|
48-18 |
1550.7 |
+12.6
|
1563.3 |
88.7% |
| 15 |
Nov 29 2025 |
W |
Rice
|
52-3 |
1563.3 |
+12.1
|
1575.4 |
81.4% |
| 18 |
Dec 17 2025 |
L |
Old Dominion
|
10-24 |
1575.4 |
-40.3
|
1535.1 |
47.5% |